Preaching Prevention and Family Values
Below is a letter I wrote to the Dallas Morning News. Unfortunately I
sent it to the wrong email address so that they didn't even have a
proper opportunity to decline it. I was responding to an opinion piece
by Star Parker titled "Social Distortion". The version in the Dallas
Morning News (Saturday, June 9, page 21A) was a slightly abbreviated
form of Parker's full essay. Anyway, here is my letter.
Although I am no friend of the religious right, I largely agree
with Star Parker's ("Social Distortion" June 10, page 21A) essay
pointing out that poverty in America is substantially a consequence
of family breakdown. But Ms Parker goes on to say that "Christians
like to stay home can care for their families." The simple facts of
the matter is that divorce, teen age pregnancy and out of wedlock
births are strongly correlated with being religious. The US states
with the highest rates of religiosity have the highest rates of
family breakdown. And among the rich democracies of the West those
countries with the most religious populations also have the highest
rates of family breakdown. If religious leaders wish to consider
whether their message is contributing to the problem, a good place
to start would be to ask whether futile preaching against
premarital sex (at a time when age at first marriage is rising)
might be better refocused on preaching against premarital
pregnancy. Jeffrey Goldberg
A letter to the the editor needs to be short, but blogs can ramble on
endlessly, so at some point I'll add in actual references. I've looked
it all up before, but don't have it at my finger tips now. But there
is a very clear pattern that within the US the more religious a region
(as measured by church attendance and self-descriptions) the higher
the teen pregnancy rates along with higher divorce rates. The pattern
with abortion rates is less clear. All this can be checked by looking
at US Census data. We see exactly the same pattern across "Western"
countries. The higher the religiosity the higher the rates of teen
pregnancy and divorce. Again, a case could be made that abortion rates
also follow the same pattern, but that case is harder to make due to a
number of notable exceptions to the pattern (particularly in former
Soviet bloc countries). There certainly can be many reasons for this.
We know that religiosity declines with level of education and we know
that the more educated women are the longer they wait to have children
(and the latter is a world wide trend), so the relationship between
early pregnancy and religiosity may merely be a consequence of female
education level. But I suspect that it is more. Many Christians in the
US have attempted to combat early pregnancy through abstinence
training. They have opposed the secular sex education in school if it
informs children about contraceptives. On the whole the philosophy is
that making contraceptives easily available encourages pre-marital
sex. An analogy would be to the fact that automobile airbags encourage
faster driving (for which there is some evidence). Even if the
anti-contraceptive crowd is correct in this to some degree, it does
matter to what degree and what the negative effects of discouraging
contraception can be. First of all, the efficacy of abstinence
training at having any positive effect is disputed. (I know that I
should add a source for this). Studies range from saying that it has
no effect on delaying sex to delaying sex for a few months on average.
To my knowledge, no serious study has shown that it has a substantial
effect. People who blame teen and young-adult sex on TV or other
aspects of popular culture are simply ignoring the facts of life. If
we are seeing a rise in premarital sex it is because people are
getting married later. A century ago an unmarried 25 year-old women
was definitely an "old maid." Again studies (which again I should
cite) show that those who wait to get married and have children have
more successful marriages and children. So the Christian "family
values" people have a difficult choice to make. They can continue to
fight against pre-marital sex and contraception outside of marriage.
To do that they either have to try to change human nature or reverse
get girls marrying young again (mid to late teens). Neither approach
seems to very appealing. Or if they really want to strengthen
families, they can promote the use of contraceptives to prevent not
premarital sex, but prevent pregnancies until the couple are prepared
to properly support a family. The bottom line is that the religious
opposition to contraception outside of marriage is contributing
 
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