Thursday, 14 February 2008

preaching prevention and family values



Preaching Prevention and Family Values

Below is a letter I wrote to the Dallas Morning News. Unfortunately I

sent it to the wrong email address so that they didn't even have a

proper opportunity to decline it. I was responding to an opinion piece

by Star Parker titled "Social Distortion". The version in the Dallas

Morning News (Saturday, June 9, page 21A) was a slightly abbreviated

form of Parker's full essay. Anyway, here is my letter.

Although I am no friend of the religious right, I largely agree

with Star Parker's ("Social Distortion" June 10, page 21A) essay

pointing out that poverty in America is substantially a consequence

of family breakdown. But Ms Parker goes on to say that "Christians

like to stay home can care for their families." The simple facts of

the matter is that divorce, teen age pregnancy and out of wedlock

births are strongly correlated with being religious. The US states

with the highest rates of religiosity have the highest rates of

family breakdown. And among the rich democracies of the West those

countries with the most religious populations also have the highest

rates of family breakdown. If religious leaders wish to consider

whether their message is contributing to the problem, a good place

to start would be to ask whether futile preaching against

premarital sex (at a time when age at first marriage is rising)

might be better refocused on preaching against premarital

pregnancy. Jeffrey Goldberg

A letter to the the editor needs to be short, but blogs can ramble on

endlessly, so at some point I'll add in actual references. I've looked

it all up before, but don't have it at my finger tips now. But there

is a very clear pattern that within the US the more religious a region

(as measured by church attendance and self-descriptions) the higher

the teen pregnancy rates along with higher divorce rates. The pattern

with abortion rates is less clear. All this can be checked by looking

at US Census data. We see exactly the same pattern across "Western"

countries. The higher the religiosity the higher the rates of teen

pregnancy and divorce. Again, a case could be made that abortion rates

also follow the same pattern, but that case is harder to make due to a

number of notable exceptions to the pattern (particularly in former

Soviet bloc countries). There certainly can be many reasons for this.

We know that religiosity declines with level of education and we know

that the more educated women are the longer they wait to have children

(and the latter is a world wide trend), so the relationship between

early pregnancy and religiosity may merely be a consequence of female

education level. But I suspect that it is more. Many Christians in the

US have attempted to combat early pregnancy through abstinence

training. They have opposed the secular sex education in school if it

informs children about contraceptives. On the whole the philosophy is

that making contraceptives easily available encourages pre-marital

sex. An analogy would be to the fact that automobile airbags encourage

faster driving (for which there is some evidence). Even if the

anti-contraceptive crowd is correct in this to some degree, it does

matter to what degree and what the negative effects of discouraging

contraception can be. First of all, the efficacy of abstinence

training at having any positive effect is disputed. (I know that I

should add a source for this). Studies range from saying that it has

no effect on delaying sex to delaying sex for a few months on average.

To my knowledge, no serious study has shown that it has a substantial

effect. People who blame teen and young-adult sex on TV or other

aspects of popular culture are simply ignoring the facts of life. If

we are seeing a rise in premarital sex it is because people are

getting married later. A century ago an unmarried 25 year-old women

was definitely an "old maid." Again studies (which again I should

cite) show that those who wait to get married and have children have

more successful marriages and children. So the Christian "family

values" people have a difficult choice to make. They can continue to

fight against pre-marital sex and contraception outside of marriage.

To do that they either have to try to change human nature or reverse

get girls marrying young again (mid to late teens). Neither approach

seems to very appealing. Or if they really want to strengthen

families, they can promote the use of contraceptives to prevent not

premarital sex, but prevent pregnancies until the couple are prepared

to properly support a family. The bottom line is that the religious

opposition to contraception outside of marriage is contributing


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