Institutional Graduation Rates by Academic Selectivity
Institutional graduation rates are largely determined by the academic
qualifications of the students they admit. More selective admissions
institutions tend to have higher graduation rates than do less
selective institutions as Astin pointed out more than a decade ago.
The institutions that have higher or lower graduation rates than the
rates predicted by the academic qualifications of their admitted
freshmen differ from their peers in ways that offer useful insight
into more and less successful institutional retention strategies such
as academic and social integration, first-year experience and learning
communities.
But there is another more troubling aspect to selective college
admissions: the criteria used in selection (SAT, ACT, high school
grades and class rank) are so highly correlated with family income
that colleges could substitute the students' parents' federal income
tax return for test scores, letters of recommendation, essays and
campus visits to build similar entering freshman classes. These
class-based admissions criteria tend to exclude students born into low
income families. And this exclusion diminishes low income students'
chances of ever graduating from college.
We have recently re-analyzed a data file on institutional graduation
rates prepared by the Higher education Research Institute at UCLA.
Astin and his colleagues gathered graduation status at 4 and 6 years
on a sample of 56,818 freshmen who started college in 1994 at 262
baccalaureate-granting institutions. From this file Astin published
Degree Attainment Rates at American Colleges and Universities (January
2005). We used this file to calculate graduation rates for freshmen
from different family income levels at institutions with different
levels of admissions selectivity. Controlling for SAT score our
analysis finds that at all levels of family income and all levels of
SAT scores graduation rates increase with admissions selectivity.
For example for 1994 freshmen from families with incomes of $0 to
$25,000 and SAT scores between 1001 and 1099, six year graduation
rates by institutional selectivity were:
Low selectivity 53.6%
Medium selectivity 61.3%
High selectivity 69.3%
This pattern holds across family income levels, SAT score ranges, and
institutional types and controls.
My conclusion from these findings is that the exclusion of students
from low income family backgrounds by class-based admissions criteria
at selective admission colleges and universities diminishes the
overall graduation prospects for students born into low income
families. It also inflates the graduation prospects of students born
into affluent families. In other words the current college admissions
system is enriching the rich and impoverishing the poor.
Higher education has utterly failed to grasp the key role it now plays
as the gatekeeper to the American middle class. The alternative paths
to the middle class through family farming and manufacturing
employment in earlier stages of economic development no longer exist.
Who gets into higher education and who gets into selective admission
colleges now determines who gets to most fully experience the American
lifestyle. The class-based admissions criteria currently employed by
selective admission colleges and universities are dividing educational
opportunity along the line of inherited--not earned--privilege. I
 
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